Mariia Tkacheva vs Kailey Evans Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Mariia Tkacheva's recent second serve point win rate is 22.58%, while Kailey Evans achieves 39.27%. Why is this significant? Higher second serve performance usually correlates with better match outcomes, giving Kailey an advantage.
• Kailey leads in the return game, winning 41.67% of second serve points and 32.65% of first serve returns. Mariia's stats are notably lower at 22.22% and 17.07%, respectively. How might this affect the match? Strong returns can turn crucial points, highlighting Kailey's edge.
• Under pressure, Mariia saves 36.84% of breakpoints, compared to Kailey at 50.00%. This indicates Kailey is more resilient in tough situations.
• In the past year, Mariia has won 61.76% of matches, while Kailey has a higher winning percentage at 73.68%. This suggests a consistency advantage for Kailey.
• Both players excel on Hard courts, each with a 71% win rate. Neither player favors Clay, with Mariia at 51% and Kailey at 0%.
• Comparing tournament levels, Mariia and Kailey both perform well at Challengers/ITF > $10K level, with Kailey slightly ahead in winning 70% of matches versus Mariia's 63.64%.
• Opposition strength indicates Mariia's opponents rank averages at 438.32, whereas Kailey's are stronger at 322.11, showcasing Kailey's higher competitive experience.
• In deciding sets, Kailey has won 100%, outperforming Mariia's 60%. Could this be crucial? In a tight match, Kailey's performance in final sets could be decisive.

Editorial Prediction (November 28, 2025, UTC):

As the match draws near, it's critical to assess which player holds more of an advantage based on recent form and statistical analysis.

Kailey Evans exhibits robust second serve capabilities and a superior return game, which could potentially overwhelm Mariia Tkacheva, who lags in these areas. Furthermore, Kailey's resilience under pressure, evidenced by her higher breakpoint save percentage, paints a picture of a player well-conditioned to handle critical moments.

Another key factor is the higher quality of opponents Kailey has faced, suggesting she is better prepared for high-pressure situations. Moreover, her impeccable record in deciding sets indicates a strong mental fortitude under the most pressing conditions.

Considering these aspects, Kailey Evans emerges as the likely victor for the upcoming match, with statistical trends and recent performances tilting the prediction in her favor.